Air Force Booster Failure Modeling Report, 1996
Technical analysis of unlikely space-launch deviations for risk assessment.
Sep 10, 1996
Pending
PURSUE Program

AI Disclosure Brief
AI assistedReported Object Read
No UAP object or sighting described; report details modeling of space-booster failures and anomalous vehicle behaviors in risk calculations.
Notable Characteristics
- Environment: space
Reported Motion
No confident entries yet.
Evidence Notes
- Appendix lists Atlas, Delta, Titan launch failures through August 1996.
- Defines 'Mode-5 failure responses' as significant deviations from flight line.
Routine Air Force safety report on modeling rare booster failures; no UAP references, but 'anomalous behavior' and deviation data cataloged in launch appendix.
Unclear
Pending
95%
Prosaic Leads
- Space launch risk analysis for Patrick AFB and Vandenberg AFB.
- DAMP program documentation for Mode-5 failure modeling.
Anomalous Indicators
- Categorizes 'anomalous behavior' in flight phases.
- Historical log of significant vehicle deviations.
Evidence Gaps
- Full PDF content beyond abstract and TOC unavailable.
- No explicit UAP connection in visible text.
Evidence Quotes // source statements
Open archive"An appendix to the report contains a listing and brief narrative failure history of the Atlas, Delta, and Titan missile and space-vehicle launches from the Eastern and Western Ranges from the beginning of each program through August 1996."
Unknown speaker
Abstract summary.
"Missile and space-vehicle performance histories contain many examples of failures that cause, or have the potential to cause, significant vehicle deviations from the intended flight line."
Unknown speaker
Abstract describing Mode-5 failures.
Pattern Mesh // linked sightings
Unresolved UAP Report, United Arab Emirates, October 2023
The United States Central Command submitted a report of an unidentified anomalous phenomenon to the All-domain Anomaly Resolution Office (AARO) consisting of four minutes and 57 seconds of video footage from an infrared (IR) sensor aboard a U.S. military platform in 2023. An accompanying mission report, DoW-UAP-D23, mentions a UAP was observed during the mission. Video Description: 00:00-01:55: No content. 01:56: An area of contrast becomes distinguishable against the background in the center of the right side of the display. 02:04: The IR sensor pans to center on the area of contrast. 02:14: The sensor field-of-view narrows to zoom in on the area of contrast. 02:15-03:26: The area of contrast remains generally in the center of the sensor field-of-view. 03:27-04:57: The sensor motion causes the area of contrast to move erratically across the display. Due to this motion, the sensor system repeatedly loses and reacquires the area of contrast within the center area of the display. This video description is provided for informational purposes only. Readers should not interpret any part of this description as reflecting an analytical judgment, investigative conclusion, or factual determination regarding the described event’s validity, nature, or significance.
Same source archive
Shared tags: pursue-release-1, release-1
Unresolved UAP Report, United Arab Emirates, October 2023
The United States Central Command submitted a report of an unidentified anomalous phenomenon to the All-domain Anomaly Resolution Office (AARO) consisting of 43 seconds of video footage from an infrared sensor aboard a U.S. military platform in 2023. An accompanying mission report, DoW-UAP-D23, mentions a UAP was observed during the mission. Video Description: 00:00-00:17: An area of contrast remains generally within the top left quarter of the display. 00:17-00:18: The sensor pans from right to left, causing the area of contrast to pass through the center of the display. The sensor then pans from left to right, causing the area of contrast to return to its approximate initial position within the sensor field-of-view. 00:29: The sensor stops tracking the area of contrast, causing it to leave the sensor field-of-view on the left side of the screen. 00:30-00:43: The sensor resumes its motion relative to the background but does not reacquire the area of contrast. This video description is provided for informational purposes only. Readers should not interpret any part of this description as reflecting an analytical judgment, investigative conclusion, or factual determination regarding the described event’s validity, nature, or significance.
Same source archive
Shared tags: pursue-release-1, release-1
Unresolved UAP Report, Syria, October 2024
The United States Central Command submitted a report of an unidentified anomalous phenomenon (UAP) to the All-domain Anomaly Resolution Office (AARO) consisting of five seconds of video footage from a full-motion video (FMV) camera aboard a U.S. military platform in 2024. An accompanying mission report, DoW-UAP-D32, described the UAP as consisting of a “misshapen and uneven ball of white light,” and reported that a “light/glare halo effect” occurred at the top of the FMV feed. Video Description: 00:01-00:03: Two semi-transparent, irregularly shaped orange areas overlay the background imagery, persisting for less than two seconds each. This video description is provided for informational purposes only. Readers should not interpret any part of this description as reflecting an analytical judgment, investigative conclusion, or factual determination regarding the described event’s validity, nature, or significance.
Same source archive
Shared tags: pursue-release-1, release-1
Unresolved UAP Report, Syria, October 2024
The United States Central Command submitted a report of an unidentified anomalous phenomenon (UAP) to the All-domain Anomaly Resolution Office (AARO) consisting of six seconds of video footage from a full-motion video (FMV) camera aboard a U.S. military platform in 2024. An accompanying mission report, DoW-UAP-D32, described the UAP as consisting of a “misshapen and uneven ball of white light,” and reported that a “light/glare halo effect” occurred at the top of the FMV feed. Video Description: 00:02-00:04: An area of irregular color and brightness, mainly consisting of white and red highlights, appears near the center of the top edge of the sensor display. The area extends to a width of approximately one-third of the horizontal frame, with a vertical area comprising approximately one-sixth of the viewing area. Overall, its shape is best described as a horizontally-oriented half-oval bisected along its major axis. This video description is provided for informational purposes only. Readers should not interpret any part of this description as reflecting an analytical judgment, investigative conclusion, or factual determination regarding the described event’s validity, nature, or significance.
Same source archive
Shared tags: pursue-release-1, release-1
Unresolved UAP Report, Syria, October 2024
The United States Central Command submitted a report of an unidentified anomalous phenomenon (UAP) to the All-domain Anomaly Resolution Office (AARO) consisting of five seconds of video footage from a full-motion video (FMV) camera aboard a U.S. military platform in 2024. An accompanying mission report, DoW-UAP-D32, described the UAP as consisting of a “misshapen and uneven ball of white light,” and reported that a “light/glare halo effect” occurred at the top of the FMV feed. Video Description: 00:00-00:01: An indistinctly shaped multi-colored area moves from right to left across the top edge of the sensor display within the first second of the video. This video description is provided for informational purposes only. Readers should not interpret any part of this description as reflecting an analytical judgment, investigative conclusion, or factual determination regarding the described event’s validity, nature, or significance.
Same source archive
Shared tags: pursue-release-1, release-1
Unresolved UAP Report, Syria, July 2022
The United States Central Command submitted a report of an unidentified anomalous phenomenon (UAP) to the All-domain Anomaly Resolution Office (AARO) consisting of 14 seconds of video footage from an infrared (left) and electro-optical (right) sensor aboard a U.S. military platform in 2022. An accompanying mission report, DoW-UAP-D16, described the UAP as “moving from north to south.” Video Description: At the five second mark, the video depicts an object moving from right to left across the top right quarter of the sensor field-of-view. This video description is provided for informational purposes only. Readers should not interpret any part of this description as reflecting an analytical judgment, investigative conclusion, or factual determination regarding the described event’s validity, nature, or significance.
Same source archive
Shared tags: pursue-release-1, release-1
Chronology Trace // before & after
Apollo 12 NASA UAP Image, 1969
Moon
Kazakhstan Boeing 747 UFO Encounter, 1994
Kazakhstan
Kazakhstan Bullet UAP at 100,000 Feet, 1994
Kazakhstan
Papua New Guinea High-Speed Overflights, 1985
Japan
Vandenberg Launch Summary, 1958-2000
PURSUE Program
Russia Blames UFOs for Georgian Airspace Breach, 2001
Georgia
UFOs Over Georgia: MFA's Strange Denial
Georgia
Official Files // source material
1 linkedDOW-UAP-D48, Department of the Air Force Report, 1996
== �--== -=--=- �=------===--====-==-=--=-=-==- __;;;;._ ____________ _ RESEARCH TRIANGLE INSTITUTE /RTI Contract No ■- FO4703-91-C-0112 RTI Report No. RTl/5180/77-43F September 10, 1996 Modeling Unlikely Space-Booster Failures in Risk Calculations 19961025 122 Final Report Prepared for Department of the Air Force 45th Space Wing (AFSPC) Safety Office - 45 SW/SE Patrick AFB, FL 32925 and Department of the Air Force 30th Space Wing (AFSPC) Safety Office- 30 SW/SE Vandenberg AFB, CA 93437 Distribution authorized to US Government agencies and their contractors to protect administrative/ operational use data, 10 September 96. Other requests for this document shall be referred to the 30th Space Wing (AFSPC) Safety Office (30 SW/SE), Vandenberg AFB, CA 93437, or 45th Space W
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